Recession Fears May Bring an End to the Great Resignation, Achieve Survey Finds

Staff Report

Monday, December 19th, 2022

With few Americans financially prepared to withstand a layoff or other emergency, most workers plan to hunker down at their current jobs — a sign that the Great Resignation phenomenon that began during the pandemic may end in 2023, according to a new study by Achieve, the leader in digital personal finance.

The 2023 Financial Fit Check is the latest survey from the Achieve Center for Consumer Insights and reveals considerable trepidation about the economy, employment and personal financial security. Despite dour attitudes about macroeconomic conditions, 74% of respondents said they do not believe their employer intends to lay off workers in the next year.

"Many Americans feel the economy is in bad shape, yet turn a blind eye toward the potential impacts," said Achieve Co-Founder and Co-CEO Andrew Housser. "This may be preventing consumers from taking the steps necessary to prepare their finances in the event that they do experience a loss or reduction in employment or income. It's not too late to take steps to shore up finances and prepare for the unexpected, but the time is now."

Meanwhile, after nearly two years of marked increases in workers resigning in droves to pursue new employment — a trend dubbed the Great Resignation — 73% of workers in Achieve's survey say they have no plans to leave their current jobs.

"Workers who are anxious about the economy feel that it's safer to stay in their current jobs," said Housser. "This is especially true among workers in the Baby Boomer generation who are increasingly nearing retirement age and prefer the stability of their existing jobs."

Work environment affects decision to accept buyouts

In response to a hypothetical scenario of an employer offering buyouts as an alternative to layoffs, about 42% said they would decline the offer altogether. More than 4 in 10 (43%) said they would only accept a buyout that included six months or more of severance pay.

Employees who work in a hybrid environment were more likely to want to voluntarily leave their jobs than those who work full time either remotely or in-person. If offered a severance package to resign, 71% of those working in a hybrid environment said they would take it. Only 53% of those who work fully remotely said they would, and 56% of those who work entirely in-person.

The study also found that 42% of consumers say they are financially unprepared if they were laid off. Just about a third (32%) said they expect to receive severance pay of one month or less; 21% did not know if they would receive anything if they were laid off.

Negative outlook on U.S. economy, positive outlook on personal finances

Despite displaying a positive outlook on their household finances, the majority of Americans are unprepared to withstand a potential recession and accompanying disruption in the labor market.

"After a year marked by record inflation and financial market upheaval, consumers are struggling to navigate economic uncertainty," said Housser. "From continued interest rate hikes to the ongoing strains of rising costs, supply chain shortfalls and the end of pandemic stimulus and forbearance programs, consumers should take steps to prepare for what could continue to be a tumultuous  2023."

Achieve's 2023 Financial Fit Check report notes a distinct discrepancy between consumers' outlooks on the national economy and their own finances. Almost three-quarters (73%) of Americans said they felt poor or very poor about U.S. economic conditions, with close to one-third of both Gen Xers and Baby Boomers saying they felt current economic conditions are very poor.

Less than 6% of Gen Zers and Millennials felt economic conditions are very good, three times as many as Baby Boomers. The negative sentiment was consistent across all types of wage earners, and among both homeowners and renters.

In marked contrast, consumers were generally positive about their household's finances, with 52% saying they felt good or very good about their current financial security. "This optimism, however, may not be based on a strong foundation," says Housser. "Signs indicate that Americans need to lean in on planning and preparation regardless of their feelings of security."