States With the Most Productive Economies
Monday, May 2nd, 2022
Despite the challenges that COVID-19 created for the U.S. economy over the last two years, recent months have shown major signs of positive economic news. For one, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis estimated that GDP increased by 7% in the last quarter of 2021, an impressive figure even during another spike in COVID cases at the end of last year. And while inflation has been a significant pressure on many households’ finances, workers in almost every industry have seen wage growth since COVID-19 began.
The simultaneous increases in economic productivity and wages are particularly noteworthy because of the increasing gap between the two in recent years. From 1948 to around 1980, total economic productivity and worker compensation for non-supervisory positions grew at roughly the same pace: over that span, economic productivity increased by 113% and compensation grew by 102%. Since the beginning of the 1980s, economic productivity has continued to grow steadily, but wage growth has not kept up. From 1980 to 2000, real wages were almost completely stagnant, and while compensation has increased more since 2000, the rate of wage growth lags behind the rate for productivity. In 2020, economic productivity had seen a cumulative 253% increase since 1948, while real wages were up only 144% over that span.
A significant portion of the gap between productivity growth and wage growth can be attributed to advances in computing, automation, and other technologies in recent decades. While these advances have provided many benefits to the economy, the gap between productivity and wage growth is closely related to rising levels of economic inequality in the U.S. Rapidly growing industries have seen more proportional wage increases, even as other fields continue to stagnate, so workers in more productive fields are significantly better off. And in many cases, economic productivity that is not translated into increased compensation is likely to be retained by a business’s executives or shareholders. These disparities also emerge according to geography. Certain locations have clusters of businesses in fields with high growth in productivity, such as finance and banking in the New York City metro or tech in Silicon Valley. As businesses and industries in these locations continue to grow, their success provides the conditions and resources to continue growing, expanding, or founding businesses and attract more human capital, which concentrates even more productivity growth in a limited number of locations.
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