Owner Perception of Home Value Dips after Seven Months of Improvement
Wednesday, February 14th, 2018
The gap between an appraisal value and homeowner expectations widened in January – reversing course for the first time in eight months. The National Quicken Loans Home Price Perception Index showed appraisers valued homes an average of 0.6 percent lower than what owners estimated.
Despite the slight difference in perception, the Quicken Loans Home Value Index - the only measure of home value change based solely on appraisal data reported climbing home values. On a national level, appraisal values increased 0.46 percent from December to January. The annual growth was even stronger, with home values jumping 7.03 percent from the same month of the previous year.
Home Price Perception Index
Appraisals in January were an average of 0.6 percent lower than the estimate homeowners give at the beginning of the mortgage process, as measured by the National HPPI. While not a drastic change from December, this marks the first decrease in the HPPI in eight months. However, January's National HPPI value is much improved compared to the same time last year, when appraiser opinions were 1.47 percent lower than owner expectations.
"The appraisal is one of the most important pieces of data in the mortgage process. Often the entire transaction hinges on the appraisal showing a number similar to what the homeowner estimated at the beginning of the process," said Bill Banfield, Quicken Loans Executive Vice President of Capital Markets. "If the appraisal is lower it could mean the homeowner needs to bring additional cash to close, or the loan may need to be reworked. It's very promising to see the homeowner estimate and the appraiser opinion so close together."
Home Value Index
Home equity continued to rise across the country in January, with appraisal values increasing 0.46 percent from the previous month and jumping 7.03 percent as compared to the previous January. The only region that dropped in value was the South, showing a 0.54 percent decrease from December to January. Every region reported annual appraisal growth with the West continuing to lead the way.
"Low inventory of homes available for sale and a growing economy has led to steadily rising home values as indicated by the strong annual increase of the HVI index," said Banfield. "The recent increase in interest rates could test affordability in the short run, but the desire to own a home remains on firm ground and may ultimately help normalize the inventory issues."
HVI January 2017
January 2005 = |
HVI January 2017 vs. December 2016 % Change |
HVI January 2017 vs. January 2016 % Change |
HPPI January 2017
Appraiser Value |
HPPI January 2016
Appraiser Value |
|
National Composite |
106.26 |
+0.46% |
+7.03% |
-0.60% |
-1.47% |
*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions. |
Geographic Regions
|
HVI January 2017
January 2005 = |
HVI January 2017 vs. December 2016 % Change |
HVI January 2017 vs. January 2016 % Change |
HPPI January 2017
Appraiser Value |
HPPI January 2016
Appraiser Value |
West |
130.77 |
+2.23% |
+10.46% |
-0.41% |
-1.19% |
Midwest |
87.53 |
+0.37% |
+6.93% |
-0.67% |
-1.65% |
South |
107.06 |
-0.54% |
+5.08% |
-0.70% |
-1.47% |
Northeast |
99.30 |
+0.27% |
+5.22% |
-0.72% |
-1.58% |
*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions. |
Metropolitan Areas
|
HPPI January 2017
Appraiser Value |
HPPI December 2016
Appraiser Value |
HPPI January 2016
Appraiser Value |
Dallas, TX |
+2.83% |
+3.17% |
+2.00% |
San Jose, CA |
+2.58% |
+2.55% |
+1.00% |
Denver, CO |
+2.18% |
+2.22% |
+2.98% |
San Francisco, CA |
+2.11% |
+2.22% |
+1.56% |
Seattle, WA |
+1.96% |
+2.20% |
+1.34% |
Boston, MA |
+1.90% |
+1.62% |
+1.06% |
San Diego, CA |
+1.13% |
+1.03% |
+0.53% |
Charlotte, NC |
+1.07% |
+1.14% |
+0.98% |
Portland, OR |
+1.05% |
+1.25% |
+2.15% |
Minneapolis, MN |
+1.02% |
+0.87% |
+1.01% |
Los Angeles, CA |
+0.93% |
+1.06% |
+1.19% |
Sacramento, CA |
+0.84% |
+1.03% |
+0.78% |
Kansas City, MO |
+0.80% |
+0.93% |
+0.32% |
Miami, FL |
+0.75% |
+0.84% |
+0.19% |
Las Vegas, NV |
+0.60% |
+0.63% |
-0.49% |
Phoenix, AZ |
+0.59% |
+0.65% |
-0.78% |
Riverside, CA |
+0.54% |
+0.47% |
-0.04% |
Tampa, FL |
+0.44% |
+0.19% |
-1.27% |
Detroit, MI |
+0.41% |
+0.21% |
-1.62% |
Washington, D.C. |
+0.33% |
+0.23% |
-0.32% |
New York, NY |
0.13% |
-0.15% |
-1.40% |
Atlanta, GA |
-0.09% |
-0.28% |
-0.73% |
Houston, TX |
-0.61% |
-0.43% |
+0.43% |
Chicago, IL |
-1.35% |
-1.36% |
-1.87% |
Baltimore, MD |
-1.53% |
-1.78% |
-2.74% |
Philadelphia, PA |
-1.87% |
-1.91% |
-2.94% |
Cleveland, OH |
-1.95% |
-2.09% |
-2.06% |
*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions. |