Dodge Momentum Index Recovers in October

Staff Report

Monday, November 13th, 2017

The Dodge Momentum Index rose in October, climbing 13.2% to 130.9 (2000=100) from the revised September reading of 115.6. The Momentum Index is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The move higher in October nearly reversed the erosion of the past four months (including September's 7.9% decline), with October posting healthy gains in both sectors. From September to October the commercial portion of the Momentum Index advanced 16.8%, while the institutional portion grew 8.3%. On a year-over-year basis, the Momentum Index is now 6.1% higher, with the commercial portion up 5.5% and the institutional portion up 6.9%. October's increase supports the belief that building activity has further room to grow during this cycle. While month-to-month activity could continue to be volatile, there are enough projects in the pipeline to sustain growth into 2018.

In October, 20 projects each with a value of $100 million or more entered planning. For the commercial building sector, the leading projects were a pair of Facebook data centers in Sandston VA valued at $400 million and $200 million respectively. The leading institutional projects were a $480 million hospital in Dallas TX and a $160 million hospital tower in Seattle WA.

Dodge Momentum Index
(Year 2000=100)

   

Oct-17

Sep-17

   
 

 Dodge Momentum Index

130.9

115.6

13.2%

 
 

    Commercial Building

141.4

121.1

16.8%

 
 

     Institutional Building

117.9

108.9

8.3%

 
 

  Source: Dodge Data & Analytics