Dodge Momentum Index Stumbles in July
Tuesday, August 8th, 2017
The Dodge Momentum Index fell in July, dropping 3.3% to 135.0 (2000=100) from its revised June reading of 139.6. The Momentum Index is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The move lower in July was due to a 6.6% decline in the institutional component of the Momentum Index, while the commercial component fell 1.1%. This month continues a recent trend of volatility in the Momentum Index where a string of gains is interrupted by a step backwards in planning intentions. Despite the decline from June to July, the Momentum Index is 6.9% higher than one year ago, which suggests further moderate gains in construction activity throughout the year. The commercial component of the Momentum Index is 8.0% higher than last year, while the Institutional component is 5.3% higher.
In July, nine projects entered planning each with a value of $100 million or more. For the institutional building sector, the leading projects were the $200 million Kaiser Permanente Medical Center in Woodbridge VA and the $200 million phase 2B of the Thompson Education Center in Rocky Hill NY. The leading commercial building projects were a $177 million Amazon fulfillment center in North Randall OH and the $170 million Pala Casino and Resort in Pala CA.
Dodge Momentum Index |
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Jul-17 |
Jun-17 |
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Dodge Momentum Index |
135.0 |
139.6 |
-3.3% |
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Commercial Building |
148.2 |
149.9 |
-1.1% |
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Institutional Building |
118.7 |
127.0 |
-6.6% |
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Source: Dodge Data & Analytics |
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