Auto Sales Staying Strong in February, Forecasts Edmunds
Friday, February 24th, 2017
Edmunds, the leading car shopping and information platform, forecasts that 1,331,787 new cars and trucks will be sold in the U.S. in February for an estimated Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate of 17.6 million. This reflects a 17 percent increase in sales from January 2017, but a 1 percent decrease from February 2016. Even though February is historically a slow sales month, it gets a nice bump from the President's Day holiday weekend when auto sales are usually 20 percent higher than an average February weekend.
"The holiday weekend is likely a contributing factor to strong sales in February, but we're also seeing signs that automakers are starting to be a bit more aggressive to move cars off the lot," said Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds executive director for industry analysis. "Fleet sales were robust in February, and incentives are continuing to rise. While trucks and SUVs don't need as much help to find interested buyers, inventories of passenger cars have been building."
SALES VOLUME FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER
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Sales Volume |
February 2017 Forecast |
February 2016 |
January 2017 |
Change from February 2016 |
Change from January 2017 |
GM |
240,795 |
227,825 |
195,909 |
5.7% |
22.9% |
Ford |
208,627 |
216,045 |
171,186 |
-3.4% |
21.9% |
Toyota |
179,593 |
187,954 |
143,048 |
-4.4% |
25.5% |
Fiat Chrysler |
169,514 |
187,318 |
152,218 |
-9.5% |
11.4% |
Nissan |
129,561 |
130,911 |
112,319 |
-1.0% |
15.4% |
Honda |
117,685 |
118,986 |
106,380 |
-1.1% |
10.6% |
Hyundai/Kia |
96,054 |
102,746 |
82,133 |
-6.5% |
16.9% |
VW/Audi |
38,669 |
34,039 |
36,711 |
13.6% |
5.3% |
Industry |
1,331,787 |
1,344,983 |
1,138,241 |
-1.0% |
17.0% |
*NOTE: February 2017 had 24 selling days, February 2016 had 24 and January 2016 had 24. |
Edmunds estimates that retail SAAR will come in at 13.5 million vehicles in February 2017, with fleet transactions accounting for 23.3 percent of total sales. An estimated 3.4 million used vehicles will be sold in February 2017, for a SAAR of 37.9 million (compared to 3.0 million – or a SAAR of 37.9 million – in January).
MARKET SHARE FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER |
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Market Share |
February 2017 Forecast |
February 2016 |
January 2017 |
Change from February 2016 |
Change from January 2017 |
GM |
18.1% |
16.9% |
17.2% |
1.1% |
0.9% |
Ford |
15.7% |
16.1% |
15.0% |
-0.4% |
0.6% |
Toyota |
13.5% |
14.0% |
12.6% |
-0.5% |
0.9% |
Fiat Chrysler |
12.7% |
13.9% |
13.4% |
-1.2% |
-0.6% |
Nissan |
9.7% |
9.7% |
9.9% |
0.0% |
-0.1% |
Honda |
8.8% |
8.8% |
9.3% |
0.0% |
-0.5% |
Hyundai/Kia |
7.2% |
7.6% |
7.2% |
-0.4% |
0.0% |
VW/Audi |
2.9% |
2.5% |
3.2% |
0.4% |
-0.3% |