New CareerBuilder and Emsi Analysis Finds College Degrees Are Not Keeping Up With Demand in Critical Areas
Monday, March 7th, 2016
Nearly two-thirds (63 percent) of employers reported that they are concerned about the growing skills gap in the U.S1. A new analysis of
college degree completions vs. job demand from CareerBuilder and Emsi shows that the next generation of workers won't be able to fill the void.
According to a national Harris Poll survey of more than 2,300 employers, commissioned by CareerBuilder, half (49 percent) of employers have experienced a negative impact on their business due to extended job vacancies with 25 percent reporting a loss in revenue and 43 percent pointing to lower productivity1.
To exemplify the current scope and potential exacerbation of an already debilitating talent deficit, data experts at CareerBuilder and Emsi looked at a sample of college programs that aren't producing enough graduates to keep pace with labor market demand. While the programs highlighted in the study have grown at least 10 percent from 2009-2014 and had at least 10,000 completions in 20142, they're still undersupplying candidates for occupations that already see big gaps between the number of jobs posted and the number of hires companies make each month.
For example, 157,591 people graduated with degrees in Computer and Information Sciences in 2014, a number that increased 41 percent since 2009. While the growth is encouraging, it's not enough. On average, from Jan. 2015 to Jan. 2016, 689,685 computer and information technology jobs were posted each month in the U.S. However, the average number of hires was only 209,035 – leaving a gap of 480,650 positions.
While this is a critical issue in STEM-related fields (science, technology, engineering and math), it extends to other areas as well. The analysis shows notable gaps for Human Resources Management, Economics, Legal Assistant/Paralegal and Graphic Design among others. See the following chart for more details.
Program |
2014 Postsecondary Completions |
Growth in Completions Since 2009 |
% Growth in Completions Since 2009 |
Avg. Monthly Job Postings (Jan. 2015-Jan. 2016) |
Avg. Monthly Hires (Jan. 2015-Jan. 2016) |
Gap Between Postings and Hires |
Projected Job Growth (2015-2020) |
No. of Associated Jobs (2015) |
Computer and Information Sciences |
157,591 |
46,128 |
41% |
689,685 |
209,035 |
480,650 |
8.6% |
4,691,330 |
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing |
248,627 |
75,923 |
44% |
346,061 |
103,177 |
242,884 |
9.0% |
2,956,717 |
Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration |
18,287 |
4,448 |
32% |
54,307 |
16,655 |
37,652 |
7.2% |
402,295 |
Human Resources Management and Services |
26,480 |
2,416 |
10% |
86,903 |
65,167 |
21,736 |
5.2% |
1,066,144 |
Electrical and Electronics Engineering |
26,367 |
4,274 |
19% |
29,224 |
10,265 |
18,959 |
3.0% |
317,576 |
Mechanical Engineering |
32,429 |
9,193 |
40% |
26,032 |
9,819 |
16,213 |
3.1% |
278,995 |
Biology, General |
85,014 |
19,039 |
29% |
19,122 |
5,142 |
13,980 |
6.8% |
148,902 |
Health Information/Medical Records Technology/Technician |
11,622 |
6,071 |
109% |
21,503 |
7,599 |
13,904 |
9.6% |
195,120 |
Legal Assistant/Paralegal |
16,309 |
2,265 |
16% |
21,313 |
10,361 |
10,952 |
8.0% |
276,741 |
Economics |
40,103 |
5,691 |
17% |
36,185 |
25,602 |
10,583 |
14.4% |
519,427 |
Civil Engineering |
19,690 |
4,247 |
28% |
15,436 |
12,379 |
3,057 |
9.0% |
275,057 |
Graphic Design |
11,819 |
3,179 |
37% |
14,886 |
12,536 |
2,350 |
2.2% |
240,083 |
The analysis utilized Emsi's extensive labor market database, which pulls from more than 100 national and state employment resources.
"The skills gap can have a paralyzing effect on businesses, resulting in greater economic implications," said Matt Ferguson, CEO of CareerBuilder and co-author of The Talent Equation. "In addition to reskilling and upskilling our existing workforce, we need to step up efforts to inform younger generations about high-growth, high-earning occupations where jobs far outnumber available candidates."
Skills Gap is an Information Gap
Nearly half (47 percent) of employers believe the skills gap is an information gap — people are not aware of the jobs that are available and growing.
Looking at it from the student's perspective, nearly one in four high school seniors (24 percent) said they have no idea what career they want to pursue. Of high school seniors who have pinpointed a desired profession, 23 percent said they made their career choice based on something they saw on TV or in a movie.